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The Geography of the Ferguson Effect

A bunch of charts and maps of where crime went up since the police shooting of Michael Brown

Homicide counts by race and hispanic origin

moving average of homicides as a percentage of those in August 2014

Blacks

Map of increase in Black homicide rates after Ferguson

Map of increase in Black homicide deaths after Ferguson

I also plotted the commuting zones with the biggest homicide increases since they cover the entirety of the United States and better capture the economic and social diversity than metro areas. Also that Indian dude that won that economics prize uses and I’ve always like the New York Times maps of his work.

Commuting Zones

Commuting Zone2014 rate2014 deaths2016 rate2016 deaths
Kansas City, MO-KS30.45954.3108
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN23.44144.580
Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI28.28046.9133
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI29.945548.5732
Dayton, OH20.03038.458

Commuting zones where Black homicides increased

HCommuting zones where Black homicides increased

Guatemala had a homicide rate of 28 in 2019, so the Kansas City commuting zone had a rise in homicide rate of close to one Guatemala

Why Trump won Ohio and Wisconsin.

Hispanics

Map of increase in Hispanic homicide rates after Ferguson

Map of increase in Hispanic homicide deaths after Ferguson

Commuting Zone2014 rate2014 deaths2016 rate2016 deaths
Albuquerque, NM7.33012.753
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI5.1938.4156
Tucson, AZ6.6279.439
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO4.8347.556
Austin-Round Rock, TX3.9236.541

Commuting zones where hispanic homicides increase

Commuting zones where hispanic homicides increased

Whites

Map of increase in White homicide rates after Ferguson

Map of increase in White homicide deaths after Ferguson

Commuting Zone2014 rate2014 deaths2016 rate2016 deaths
Tulsa, OK3.8266.645
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR5.2317.444
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN3.5265.743
Huntsville, AL3.7225.835
St. Louis, MO-IL1.9283.856

St. Louis in 2014 had a homicide rate similar to that of London in 2018 and now it is significantly higher.

Commuting zones where White homicides increased

Commuting zones where White homicides increased

June 11th, 2020


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